PuntersAdvice Betting Log

It's all a load of Cannonballs in here! This is the virtual Arsenal pub where you can chat about anything except football. Be warned though, like any pub, the content may not always be suitable for everyone.
User avatar
PuntersAdvice
Posts: 28
Joined: Wed Feb 19, 2014 3:22 pm

Re: PuntersAdvice Betting Log

Post by PuntersAdvice »

English Premier League: Everton v Cardiff City


-Everton have scored over 1.5 goals in 8 home games this season.
-Cardiff have conceded over 1.5 goals in 9 away games this season.
-Everton have won 6 from their last 7 home league games.
-Everton are undefeated in 21 of their last 22 home matches in the Premier League.
-Cardiff have won just one away game all season, lost their last 7, and they have failed to score in eight of their last 10 away matches.
-Cardiff have been losing at both half time and full time in 5 of their last 7 away matches in the Premier League.
-Center-back Ben Turner could be doubtful for Cardiff.


Bet: Everton To Score Over 1.5 Goals
Stake: 52
Bookmaker: StanJames
Odds: 1.57

User avatar
PuntersAdvice
Posts: 28
Joined: Wed Feb 19, 2014 3:22 pm

Re: PuntersAdvice Betting Log

Post by PuntersAdvice »

English League 1: Wolves v Shrewsbury


-Wolves are looking to make it a club record 10 consecutive wins.
-Wolves have won their last 9 games by a minimum 2 goal margin with 7 clean sheets.
-Shrewsbury have 1 win in their last 11 games.
-Shrewsbury have doubts over on-loan Bolton striker Tom Eaves (hamstring), Aaron Wildig (quad) and Luke Summerfield (thigh).


Bet: Wolves -1 Asian Handicap
Stake: 104
Bookmaker: Bet365
Odds: 1.475

User avatar
PuntersAdvice
Posts: 28
Joined: Wed Feb 19, 2014 3:22 pm

Re: PuntersAdvice Betting Log

Post by PuntersAdvice »

English Premier League: Man Utd v Liverpool


-Liverpool have scored at least 3 goals in their last 4 matches in the Premier League.
-Liverpool have won their last 4 matches in the Premier League.
-Liverpool have been superb in attack, however, and may take a lead into the break having scored 27 more goals in the first half of league matches this season than their hosts.
-Liverpool have won 5 of their last 6 league matches, scoring 20 goals and have lost just 4 away league games this season.
-Man Utd have lost or drawn 50% of their league matches.
-Man Utd have to consider their match against Olympiakos who have just won their domestic league and have a 2 goal advantage in the Champions League and more than likely Man Utd will have to win the CL to be in the competition next season.
-Fellani is starting and is far too slow against Liverpools front 6.


Liverpool: Mignolet, Johnson, Skrtel, Agger, Flanagan, Gerrard, Allen, Henderson, Sterling, Suarez, Sturridge

Man Utd: De Gea, Rafael, Jones, Vidic, Evra, Mata, Fellaini, Carrick, Januzaj, Rooney, van Persie


Bet: Liverpool To Win Or Draw (Double Chance)
Stake: 96
Bookmaker: Bet365
Odds: 1.55

User avatar
PuntersAdvice
Posts: 28
Joined: Wed Feb 19, 2014 3:22 pm

Re: PuntersAdvice Betting Log

Post by PuntersAdvice »

English Premier League: Tottenham v Arsenal


-We will round off this weeks bets with the last game in the Premier League between two local teams teams who both have a host of injuries however Tottenham don't have many top quality replacements unlike Arsenal.
-Arsenal missing: Diaby, Walcott, Ozil, Ramsey.
-Tottenham missing: Lamela, Chiriches, Capoue, Dawson, Dembele.
-Tottenham are on a bad run having lost on Thursday to Benfica and are 6 points behind Arsenal in the race for a champions league place having played 1 game more.
-Arsenal have won both meetings this season.
-Tottenham have conceded 5 goals in each of their home games against Man City and Liverpool and will again be playing with a slightly unusual formation against one of the most technically proficient teams in the league and should be pinned in their own half for much of the game with a lineup that looks to be trying to play counter attacking football which they simply don't have the pace for against this Arsenal side.


Tottenham: Lloris; Naughton, Kaboul, Vertonghen, Rose; Sandro; Townsend, Bentaleb, Eriksen, Chadli; Adebayor.

Arsenal: Szczesny, Sagna, Koscielny, Mertesacker, Gibbs, Arteta, Rosicky, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Podolski, Cazorla, Giroud.



Bet: Arsenal To Win Or Draw (Double Chance)
Stake: 54
Bookmaker: Boylesports
Odds: 1.4

User avatar
PuntersAdvice
Posts: 28
Joined: Wed Feb 19, 2014 3:22 pm

Re: PuntersAdvice Betting Log

Post by PuntersAdvice »

Everton 2-1 Cardiff City
Wolves 0-0 Shrewsbury
Man Utd 0-3 Liverpool
Tottenham 0-1 Arsenal

Balance: 1,037

Rosie_titters
Posts: 5491
Joined: Tue Nov 18, 2008 3:06 pm
Location: Aberystwyth

Re: PuntersAdvice Betting Log

Post by Rosie_titters »

well done, apart from the Wolves game, I also thought they would win

you've got them right. :)

Can i ask a question, is this all your own work, or are you just copying and pasting it from another website? :|

User avatar
PuntersAdvice
Posts: 28
Joined: Wed Feb 19, 2014 3:22 pm

Re: PuntersAdvice Betting Log

Post by PuntersAdvice »

I sometimes use OPTA stats as I research a minimum of 40 games a week but 99% is my own statistical analysis doing things the old fashioned way in excel.

Rosie_titters
Posts: 5491
Joined: Tue Nov 18, 2008 3:06 pm
Location: Aberystwyth

Re: PuntersAdvice Betting Log

Post by Rosie_titters »

PuntersAdvice wrote:I sometimes use OPTA stats as I research a minimum of 40 games a week but 99% is my own statistical analysis doing things the old fashioned way in excel.

cheers for answering my question, I'm impressed with your in-depth knowledge and clearly you know what your talking about regarding betting and football stats.
I'm deffo going to follow your selections over the next few weeks, and good luck with your continued success.

User avatar
PuntersAdvice
Posts: 28
Joined: Wed Feb 19, 2014 3:22 pm

Re: PuntersAdvice Betting Log

Post by PuntersAdvice »

Champions League: Barcelona v Atletico Madrid


-Have played eachother 4 times since 2013, all under 3.5 goals.
-Last two meetings finished 0-0.
-Atletico have not won at Camp Nou since 2006 and will come to this match to defend and go to the second leg at home with a 0-0 or 1-1 result.
-Barcelona have won 2 of their previous 6 Champions League matches against Spanish opposition.
-Atletico are undefeated in the Champions League.
-Barcelona struggled to break down a tight defensive unit in Espanyol at the weekend, winning 1-0 and will face a similar strategy here.
-Atletico's top scorer Diego Costa picked up a knee injury on Monday and is doubtful for this match.


Bet: Under 3.5 Goals
Stake: 52
Bookmaker: StanJames
Odds: 1.44

User avatar
PuntersAdvice
Posts: 28
Joined: Wed Feb 19, 2014 3:22 pm

Re: PuntersAdvice Betting Log

Post by PuntersAdvice »

Barcelona 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Balance: 1,060

User avatar
PuntersAdvice
Posts: 28
Joined: Wed Feb 19, 2014 3:22 pm

Re: PuntersAdvice Betting Log

Post by PuntersAdvice »

French Ligue 1: Guingamp v Montpellier



-Guingamp and Montpellier occupy 18th and 15th place in the total goals per league match table with 1.91 and 2.29 goals respectively.

-They both have an average of 1.5 total goals per match in their last 6 league games.

-They have a combined 74% of league matches going under 2.5 goals.

-Guingamp have the 4th worst offense and the 5th best defense in the league.

-Saihi (Montpellier) has returned but has said himself he is another 2 or 3 games away from match fitness.

-Defender Mathieu Deplagne is available for Montpellier, but will serve a one-match ban for accumulation of yellow cards against Marseille.

-Guingamp will soon have captain Lionel Mathis available again following an Achilles injury, but the Montpellier match comes too soon.



Bet: Under 2.5 Goals
Stake: 53
Bookmaker: Ladbrokes
Odds: 1.55

User avatar
PuntersAdvice
Posts: 28
Joined: Wed Feb 19, 2014 3:22 pm

Re: PuntersAdvice Betting Log

Post by PuntersAdvice »

Guingamp 1-2 Montpellier

Balance: 1,007

User avatar
DB10GOONER
Posts: 58944
Joined: Tue Jan 16, 2007 2:06 pm
Location: Dublin, Ireland.
Contact:

Re: PuntersAdvice Betting Log

Post by DB10GOONER »

Arsenal v Wigan? :rubchin:

User avatar
PuntersAdvice
Posts: 28
Joined: Wed Feb 19, 2014 3:22 pm

Re: PuntersAdvice Betting Log

Post by PuntersAdvice »

German Bundesliga: Hoffenheim v Augsburg


-There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Hoffenheim's last 17 home games in the Bundesliga.
-Hoffenheim have scored at least 2 goals in their last 8 home matches in the Bundesliga.
-There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Augsburg's last 6 away games in the Bundesliga.
-Hoffenheim are undefeated in their last 5 home matches against Augsburg in all competitions.
-Augsburg still have a slight chance to qualify for Europe themselves after a win against Bayern last weekend. Several important players could return to the starting line-up.
-The last meeting had 24 shots with 16 on target.


Bet: Over 2.5 Goals
Stake: 50
Bookmaker: Ladbrokes
Odds: 1.55

Top Londoner
Posts: 4992
Joined: Sun Jan 08, 2012 7:35 pm
Location: Taser the cuunt

Re: PuntersAdvice Betting Log

Post by Top Londoner »

DB10GOONER wrote:Arsenal v Wigan? :rubchin:

Spoilsport :barscarf:

Post Reply